|
|
|
CashBackForex - Often Imitated, Never Duplicated!
|
|
|
|
|
Forex Articles
 |
After the Intervention What is Next for the Yen?
By Ralph Shell | 12:15 PM Nov 02 2011 | 2098 Views | 0 Comments | 
|
|
|
The trading week is only about half over and already we have had two major events, injecting volatility into the forex markets. The grand plan to fix the euro, the banks and the sovereign debt crisis, carefully designed to protect the interests of the French and Germans, is becoming unraveled....
|
|
 |
Oil and the Canadian Dollar
By Ralph Shell | 1:11 PM Aug 30 2011 | 1728 Views | 0 Comments |
|
|
|
The Canadian Dollar is a commodity currency as some of the experts tell us, with gold, oil, lumber and wheat exports helping the value of the loonie. Canada has also become the biggest supplier of crude oil to the US, as development of the Athabasca tar sands continues. The heavy oil, ex...
|
|
 |
Are the Euro Bears Ready for the Worst?
By Ralph Shell | 7:28 AM Jan 04 2012 | 2904 Views | 0 Comments |
|
|
|
There is an old market adage "markets only discount future events one time." That means what the market already knows is now in the market. If bad news is anticipated, and a news event confirms that which was foreseen, then the bad news has been discounted by the market, and such news ha...
|
|
|
CFTC COT Report: Specs Buy More Dollars - April 2 2013
By Ralph Shell | 6:23 AM Apr 08 2013 | 759 Views | 2 Comments |
|
|
|
Speculators increased their aggregate net position in the USD to 338,399 contracts, up from 322,132 in the previous week. Almost all of the increase was caused by additional short selling in the euro, as well as a very minor amount of poun...
|
|
 |
Can the Pound Continue to Rally?
By Ralph Shell | 9:49 AM Mar 27 2012 | 3142 Views | 0 Comments |
|
|
|
Looking at the most recent COT numbers over the weekend, we noticed there was a sharp reduction in the short interest of the British pound. Last week the specs were short almost 50K contracts, but those positions were reduced sharply to a little over 22K in the new report.
The strong Monday...
|
|
 |
Will Resolution of the Debt Ceiling Help the USD?
By Ralph Shell | 12:30 PM Jul 25 2011 | 2107 Views | 2 Comments |
|
|
|
It was a busy week end for the talking heads. President Obama, who held a late Friday press conference without his teleprompter, got the ball rolling. Because of the stalled negotiations with Congress, he warned that markets on Monday might crash, since the Republican objected to his pla...
|
|
 |
Looking for a Level to Sell the USDCAD
By Ralph Shell | 12:47 PM Aug 03 2011 | 2249 Views | 0 Comments |
|
|
|
Equity markets continue to tumble after a bill allowing for an increase in the US debt ceiling was passed. In retrospect it appears that the markets' concern with the health of the economy might be more important than the debt ceiling debate. Friday's strength in the US Treasury market s...
|
|
 |
So the Euro Problems are Merely Awaiting Solutions
By Ralph Shell | 6:52 AM Dec 30 2011 | 3053 Views | 0 Comments |
|
|
|
Sounding a bit like a Teutonic version of the madcap comic character Alfred E. Newman, German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble told a German newspaper that the next 12 months will bring stability to the euro zone. “The talk of bazookas and the like only leads to us not tackling
susta...
|
|
 |
Is There Long Dollar Liquidation-Where Do We Sell the Yen?
By Ralph Shell | 10:41 AM Feb 01 2012 | 3347 Views | 0 Comments |
|
|
|
After the many EU summits, to address the myriad of problems, there has usually been a pattern of optimism ahead of the summit, and a sell off after the meetings are over. After the most recent summit, we had a tiny rally followed by a perfunctory sell off on Tuesday. Today's recovery ha...
|
|
 |
Scared Money Flows Favor the USD
By Ralph Shell | 12:31 PM Aug 18 2011 | 2030 Views | 1 Comments |
|
|
|
Global equity bears are taking no prisoners today. Most of the US markets are down about 4% at this writing, better than most of the European indexes. The Euro Stoxx 50 is down 5.34%, French CAC 40, down 5.48%, the German DAX down 5.82%, the Italian FTSE MIB down 6.15%, and the winner in...
|
|
 |
Equities, Euro Soar After European Ministers Strike a Deal
By Ralph Shell | 12:49 PM Oct 27 2011 | 2573 Views | 0 Comments |
|
|
|
My old boss, the late Loren Johnson, a superb global cash grain and futures trader, once told me traders will "trade first and analyze later." This, perhaps, is the response to the latest European summit. The European equity markets are soaring. Leading the advance is the French CA...
|
|
 |
Some Weekly Currency Observations-What is Ahead Next Week
By Ralph Shell | 10:29 AM Mar 02 2012 | 3184 Views | 0 Comments |
|
|
|
The lengthy currency trading week is winding down. It was a hectic but interesting week, with the injection of liquidity, €529.5B by the ECB, to a reported 800 banks in Euroland. There are several different takes, what will be the result of this three year bequest of 1% money.
If...
|
|
|
Some Interesting Observations About the Chinese Economy
By Ralph Shell | 7:08 AM Jul 03 2012 | 3024 Views | 0 Comments |
|
|
|
There are many segments of the global economy that are inter-related, concerned with the strength of the Chinese economy. We do get weekly snippets of statistics which supposedly are an accurate portrayal of economic activity, but can we rely upon those numbers, and do they give us a complete ...
|
|
|
Scared Money Rarely Wins
By Ralph Shell | 7:24 AM Mar 28 2012 | 3161 Views | 0 Comments |
|
|
|
Making money trading, the pundits tell us, is easy. Subscribe to my letter and I will show you how easy it is, they claim. Having traded for a number of years, I agree that making money, on some trades, is easy, but we all know that not every trade makes money. The losers are...
|
|
 |
Will the Swiss Intervention Work?
By Ralph Shell | 1:33 PM Aug 11 2011 | 1786 Views | 0 Comments |
|
|
|
Markets, driven by greed and fear, seem to have had enough fright this week, and equities, at least, are enjoying a turnaround Thursday. In the US, the Dow average has clawed back and recaptured the top side of 11,000. Stories of the pending economic collapse are less frightening when re...
|
|
 |
Does the 07 11 Weekly Trade Give Us any Future Clues?
By Ralph Shell | 11:47 AM Jul 15 2011 | 1874 Views | 0 Comments |
|
|
|
Debt issues on both sides of the Atlantic were the currency market's major drivers for the week. Early, the euro was knocked to new swing lows under 1.3840 before staging a relief rally back into the low 1.40's. The major catalyst seemed to be increases in interest rates in Italy and Spa...
|
|
 |
Currency Markets Jittery, Awaiting European News
By Ralph Shell | 12:53 PM Oct 20 2011 | 2502 Views | 1 Comments |
|
|
|
It is always interesting to read stories in the financial press, when they report about market movements in the currency markets. Recently the progress, or lack of, in the European debt negotiations has been credit for most of the moves.
Granted the currency trade is not visible.&nbs...
|
|
 |
Yen is Making Bad Trades-Do We Sell it?
By Ralph Shell | 10:38 AM Feb 14 2012 | 3028 Views | 0 Comments |
|
|
|
For months now, Japanese ministers, Bank of Japan officials, and industry leaders have been complaining about the lofty valuation of the Japanese yen. That valuation was making exporters take losses, when attempting to compete with products from other countries which had cheaper labor and a lo...
|
|
|
Shortcuts and Syndication
|
|
|
Author Bios
|
Ralph Shell: Ralph did his graduate studies in economics and history at Duke University. He has ten years experience trading cash commodities in domestic and export markets and is a former commodity analyst with Merrill Lynch in Chicago. He was a member of and floor trader at the Chicago Board of Trade for 18 years.
Forex Captain: The Forex Captain has been a strategy developer and forex trader since 1998. From 2002 till 2009 he ran a successful managed account based on his tradestation coded strategies at FXCM. In 2007 his managed fund was ranked in BarclayHedge Rankings as one of the Top 10 Currency Traders managing less than $10M & more than $1M. Since 2009 he has been developing Expert Advisors in MQL4 for private trading, and from June 2010 he has joined the Project Triumph team as a currency analyst and project manager.
|
|
|
|
High Risk Warning: Forex, Futures, and Options trading has large potential rewards, but also large potential risks. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. You must be aware of the risks of investing in forex, futures, and options and be willing to accept them in order to trade in these markets. Forex trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Please do not trade with borrowed money or money you cannot afford to lose. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy or Sell currencies, futures, or options. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed on this website. Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. Website owners and affiliates will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. Please remember that the past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.
| |
|
|